000
FZPN03 KNHC 231500
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI SEP 23 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.1N 102.5W 944 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 23
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...75 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.5N 105.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.4N 108.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...105 NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.0N 111.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.0N 114.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 21.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF HILARY WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE LINE 
16N104W TO 09N125W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM OF 
HILARY WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 
NM SE LINE 16N106W TO 12N126W SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
MIXED NW AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 
NM S OF 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W AND REMAINDER AREA S OF 05N 
BETWEEN 95W AND 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
MIXED NW AND SW SWELL. 

 .NW OF LINE 30N115W TO 10N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 28N E OF 115W NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 113W AND 123W AND FROM 12N 
TO 20N BETWEEN 120W AND 135W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT 
IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 24N TO 29N E OF 115W NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N E OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE 
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT 30N138W TO 29N140W. NW OF FRONT NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC FRI SEP 23...

HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG IN BANDS WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF COAST FROM 
103W TO 106W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS 10N83W TO 06N91W...RESUMES 17N110W TO 
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 02N TO 08N E OF 
80W...WITHIN 60 NM OF 05N91W...WITHIN 30 NM LINE 09N88W TO 
14N94W...WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 13N105W TO 15N112W...AND 90 NM OF 
LINE 07N122W TO 11N125W AND LINE 13.5N124W TO 15N130W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.