000
FZPN03 KNHC 221516
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU SEP 22 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 15.1N 98.9W 989 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 22
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 65 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...35 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 16.2N 102.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 17.1N 105.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 18.0N 108.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.0N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE HILARY NEAR 19.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 
120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE 
AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.  

.FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 24N E OF 118W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N129W TO 23N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N118W TO 12N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 133W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC THU SEP 22...

HURRICANE HILARY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.

NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 16N103W. 

SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 10N139W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 08N81W TO 10N87W AND THEN FROM 
13N107W TO 12N123W TO 09N132W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 09N111W TO 
09N115W.       

$$
.FORECASTER CAB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.