000
FZPN03 KNHC 210317
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 21 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 23.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DORA NEAR 16.0N 105.4W 948 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 21 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE 
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 37 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 18.2N 108.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...180 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 43 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 19.9N 110.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 21.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DORA NEAR 23.0N 117.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 25.0N
120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 420 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF HURRICANE 
DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM ALL QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 120W WINDS NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
MIXED NE WIND WAVES AND S SWELL. ELSEWHERE...S OF A LINE FROM 
12N140W TO 13N115W TO 00N95W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN 
SE TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N W OF 130W WINDS E TO SE 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...S OF A LINE FROM 12N140W TO 12N130W TO 
00N110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 125W WINDS E TO SE 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...S OF A LINE FROM 12N140W TO 00N110W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.

.N OF 27N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 22N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122N AND 128W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 0300 UTC THU JUL 21...
.HURRICANE DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 04N89W TO 05N99W 
RESUMES NEAR 13N110W TO 07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.