000
FZPN03 KNHC 202117
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED JUL 20 2011

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 22.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.5N 104.2W 968 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 20 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE 
QUADRANT...110 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 100 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 35 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 17.7N 107.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...210 
NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 19.6N 109.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE 
QUADRANT...240 NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 21.0N 112.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 22.5N 116.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW DORA NEAR 24.5N
119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER OF HURRICANE 
DORA WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM ALL QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N W OF 127W WINDS NE 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE 
WIND WAVES AND S SWELL. ELSEWHERE...S OF A LINE FROM 12N140W TO 
15N110W TO 05N110W TO 05N95W TO 00N05W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 07N W OF 130W WINDS E TO SE 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE...SW OF A LINE FROM 12N140W TO 00N110W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N W OF 130W WINDS E TO SE 20 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE...SW OF A LINE FROM 12N140W TO 00N110W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN SE SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AS OF 2100 UTC WED JUL 20...
.HURRICANE DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF 
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N77W TO 04N87W TO 06N97W 
RESUMES NEAR 14N108W TO 04N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 125W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER LANDSEA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.