000 FZPN03 KNHC 190924 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 19. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 20. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 21. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 11.4N 95.9W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.1N 98.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.3N 100.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.7N 105.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 17.8N 108.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 19.5N 110.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 21.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .LOW PRES 18N111W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 18.5N111.5W 1008 MB. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 122W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED S SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 07N BETWEEN 105W AND 122W AND S OF 04S BETWEEN 96W AND 105W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 122W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 04N BETWEEN 96W AND 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT 30N135W TO 28N140W. NW OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 15N W OF 136W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 13N W OF 137W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 04N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED S AND SE SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AS OF 0830 UTC TUE JUL 19... .TROPICAL STORM DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WAS WITHIN 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG EXTENDED FROM 120 TO 450 NM ACROSS THE NW QUADRANT. .SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG EXTENDED FROM 19N TO 25N E OF 109W ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF MEXICO. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 10N ACROSS THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN W ACROSS COSTA RICA TO THE E PERIPHERY OF TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 11N91W...THEN RESUMES NW OF DORA NEAR 14N97W TO 17N107W TO BROAD LOW TO MID LEVEL LOW PRES WITH SURFACE CENTER NEAR 18N111W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES S OF THIS LOW NEAR 15N11W TO 10N117W TO NEAR 08N140W THEN TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ W OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 07N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 104W AND 122W...AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER. 000 FZPN03 KNHC 190924 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC TUE JUL 19 2011 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 19. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 20. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 21. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 11.4N 95.9W 996 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 19 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. .12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 12.1N 98.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...45 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 13.3N 100.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 15.7N 105.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...140 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 17.8N 108.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DORA NEAR 19.5N 110.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 21.5N 113.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WINDS 25 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .LOW PRES 18N111W 1008 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 18.5N111.5W 1008 MB. WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .FROM 07N TO 11N BETWEEN 105W AND 122W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED S SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 07N BETWEEN 105W AND 122W AND S OF 04S BETWEEN 96W AND 105W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 112W AND 122W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 04N BETWEEN 96W AND 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST DISSIPATING COLD FRONT 30N135W TO 28N140W. NW OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FRONT DISSIPATED. N OF 15N W OF 136W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 13N W OF 137W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. S OF 04N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED S AND SE SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AS OF 0830 UTC TUE JUL 19... .TROPICAL STORM DORA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WHILE SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WAS WITHIN 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. ADDITIONAL RAINBANDS OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG EXTENDED FROM 120 TO 450 NM ACROSS THE NW QUADRANT. .SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG EXTENDED FROM 19N TO 25N E OF 109W ACROSS COASTAL PORTIONS OF MEXICO. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ALONG 10N ACROSS THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN W ACROSS COSTA RICA TO THE E PERIPHERY OF TROPICAL STORM DORA NEAR 11N91W...THEN RESUMES NW OF DORA NEAR 14N97W TO 17N107W TO BROAD LOW TO MID LEVEL LOW PRES WITH SURFACE CENTER NEAR 18N111W. MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES S OF THIS LOW NEAR 15N11W TO 10N117W TO NEAR 08N140W THEN TRANSITIONS TO THE ITCZ W OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION WAS NOTED FROM 07N TO 11.5N BETWEEN 104W AND 122W...AND FROM 08N TO 10N BETWEEN 129W AND 135W. $$ .FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.