000
FZPN03 KNHC 161502
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC FRI OCT 16 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN OCT 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE RICK NEAR 12.7N 99.4W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 16
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 
45 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 13.3N 102.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM NE AND WITHIN 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 14.3N 106.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 135 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE AND WITHIN 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 15.5N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 17.0N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE RICK NEAR 19.0N 113.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.

...GALE WARNING...

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 
14N97W N TO NE WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 
13N97W N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN RICK WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM NE AND WITHIN 
240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...OVER WATER WITHIN 
360 NM NE AND WITHIN 270 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 420 NM NE 
AND WITHIN 360 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.

.LOW PRES 13N136W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 125W 
NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW W OF AREA. FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 125W NE 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 128W NE WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.

.COLD FRONT APPROACH NW WATERS. N OF 135W SW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS 9 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT 30N137W TO 27N140W. WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.N OF 27N E OF 125W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN NW 
SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 15N W OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W N TO NE WINDS 
TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGE.

.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W 
TO 15N95W TO 14N97W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
FROM 16N94.5W TO 15N96W TO 14N98W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
FROM 16N94.5W TO 13N97W TO 12N99W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC FRI OCT 16...

.HURRICANE RICK...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. 
NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM WIDE BAND 10N98W TO 
13N102W TO 15N99W TO 14N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM LINE 14N94W TO 08N92W.

.LOW PRES 13N136W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM 
LINE 11N136W TO 15N139W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 07N77W TO 11N90W TO 
08N100W TO 09N111W TO 12N115W TO 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 11N E OF 94W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 11N107W TO 05N117W AND 
WITHIN 120 NM LINE 13N119W TO 10N127W AND FROM 05N TO 09N 
BETWEEN 130W AND 140W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER NELSON/LEWITSKY. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.