000
FZPN03 KNHC 142119
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 14 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.0N 128.2W 978 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 14
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 
30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.7N 130.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 35 NM S SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE CHANGE 
IN SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.5N 135.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE CHANGE 
IS SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 140.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 145.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 152.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOS WARNING. WITHIN 330 NM NW AND WITHIN 
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 17N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 360 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING. WITHIN 360 NM NW 
AND WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 133W NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
9 FT.

.LOW 14N112W 1008 MB MOVE NW 10 KT. WITHIN 240 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...15N116W 1006 
MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...17N121W 1007 
MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS.

.WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N95W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 05N FROM 85W TO 115W S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SE AND SW SWELL. S OF 05N W OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N FROM 100W TO 125W SE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT WITH SE AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N FROM 103W TO 118W SE WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS 10 FT WITH SE AND SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N FROM 95W TO 
128W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW 
SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE JUL 14...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 
60 NM ELSEWHERE.

.LOW 14N112W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 109.5W TO 112W 
FROM 11N TO 16N.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...05N77W TO 06N100W TO 09N110W TO 
07N115W TO 09N125W TO 08N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 04.5N TO 06N FROM 80W TO 84W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 08N TO 09N FROM 88.5W TO 95W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
LINE FROM 09N99W TO 15.5N105.5W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07.5N TO 09N FROM 132W 
TO 140W.

$$
.FORECASTER LL. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.