000
FZPN03 KNHC 121517
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...

.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.4N 121.0W 984 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 12 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.7N 125.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND WITHIN 120 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.2N 129.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 45 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N AND WITHIN 150 
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.0N 134.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 13.0N 138.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 13.5N 142.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HURRICANE CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM N 
QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM N 
AND WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 20N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM N 
AND WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N W OF 130W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.TROPICAL WAVE 05N106W TO 17N104W. FROM 11N TO 16N WITHIN 360 NM 
E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N110W 
1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...12N112W 
1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.

.TROUGH 23N127W TO 30N127W. N OF 24N W OF TROUGH TO 135W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 29N129W TO 22N132W. N OF 27N WITHIN 240 
NM W OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED...WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 15N96W INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 
14N96W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 91W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 93W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS OR SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 93W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.N OF 24N WITHIN 120 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.S OF 03N BETWEEN 125W AND 110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 125W AND 105W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 09N BETWEEN 130W AND 95W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 1445 UTC SUN JUL 12...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER IN S 
AND 60 NM OF CENTER IN N SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER AND ALSO 
IN A FEEDER BAND WITHIN 300 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. 

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 18.5N105W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 07N81W TO 10N102W TO 
08N110W TO 11N117W TO 06N130W TO 06N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 115W AND WITHIN 
90 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 127W AND 140W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE WITHIN 60-90 NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 79W AND 83W...AND
BETWEEN 90W AND 96W.

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.