000
FZPN03 KNHC 120919
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN JUL 12 2009

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY
BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.5N 120.0W 980 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 12
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 155 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...50
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 110 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 10.8N 124.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 30 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 11.4N 128.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 270 NM N AND WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH 
SEAS TO 36 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 12.2N 133.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 13.0N 138.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE CARLOS NEAR 14.0N 142.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HURRICANE CARLOS WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM N 
QUADRANT AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM NE 
AND WITHIN 210 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM NE 
AND WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.

.TROPICAL WAVE 05N105W TO 17N103W. FROM 11N TO 16N WITHIN 360 NM 
E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...11N108W 
1008 MB. WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...11N109W 
1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 FT.

.REMNANT LOW PRES OF BLANCA NEAR 28N128W 1014 MB. FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 360 NM NW SEMICIRCLE N TO NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH 29N125W TO 22N129W. N OF 27N WITHIN 280 
NM W OF TROUGH NE WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DIFFUSE WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 15N96W INCLUDING 
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N94.5W TO 
13N97W INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 106W E 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 91W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO 
E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 93W INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 12N E OF 89W E WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 24N WITHIN 120 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N WITHIN 150 NM W OF BAJA PENINSULA NW 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 120W NW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 03N BETWEEN 125W AND 110W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 8 
FT IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 125W AND 108W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SE SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 09N BETWEEN 130W AND 98W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SE SWELL.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN JUL 12...

.HURRICANE CARLOS...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.  
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IN A FEEDER BAND WITHIN 300 
NM W SEMICIRCLE. 

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 13.5N90.5W. 
AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM 105W TO 108W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 09N79W TO 10N107W TO 
08N110W TO 09N123W TO 05N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG FROM 04N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 113W AND WITHIN 90 NM 
EITHER SIDE OF LINE 06N127W TO 05N139W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.