000
FZPN03 KNHC 040303
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT OCT 04 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 17.9N 122.1W 987 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 04 
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE...90 
NM NE QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 240 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MARIE NEAR 18.3N 123.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 18.9N 125.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE AND AND 90 
NM SW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MARIE NEAR 19.0N 128.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION MARIE NEAR 19.0N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW MARIE NEAR 18.5N 133.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION-E FIFTEEN E NEAR 13.6N 99.4W 1006 MB AT 
0300 UTC OCT 04 MOVING N OR 05 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED 
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 13.9N 100.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 35 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E AND 
30 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.7N 102.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E AND 
60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 15.3N 103.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 16.0N 105.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 17.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING WITHIN 180 NM NE...330 NM 
SE...240 NM SW...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 04N TO 23N W OF 115W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING...WITHIN 240 
NM NE...360 NM SE...180 NM SW...AND 330 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 04N TO 27N W OF 115W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN MARIE WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM E SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SW...AND 360 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 27N W OF 115W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 150 NM N AND 360 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 
16N BETWEEN 91W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM N AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE S OF 16N BETWEEN 91W AND 115W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FIFTEEN WARNING...WITHIN 
180 NM N AND 360 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 03N TO 16N BETWEEN 91W AND 115W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL. 

.WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16.5N94.5W TO 14N96W... 
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE FROM 27N114W TO 20N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE FROM 30N128W TO 26N140W WINDS LESS 
THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE FROM 30N117W TO 16N140W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC SAT OCT 04.

.T.S. MARIE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION 
WITHIN 60 NM W AND 90 NM E SEMICIRCLES.

.T.D. FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 
100W AND 108W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 85W 
AND 94W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N87W TO 13N98W TO 09N110W TO 
11N123W TO 08N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 05N TO 09N BETWEEN 
84W AND 93W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S OF 
AXIS BETWEEN 126W AND 133W.

$$
.FORECASTER CANGIALOSI. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.