000
FZPN03 KNHC 171530
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 17 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 17.1N 122.2W 974 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 17 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. MAX SEAS 
TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 17.2N 127.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. LITTLE CHANGE 
IN 12 FT SEAS. MAX SEAS TO 21 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.0N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM NW QUADRANT 
...AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. MAX SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 16.5N 137.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA NEAR 16.0N 142.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 16.0N 148.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
 
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 11.6N 104.1W 998 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 
17 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT 
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT. 
MAX SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 12.3N 108.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 
NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE. MAX 
SEAS TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 13.3N 111.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NE 
QUADRANT...180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...AND 100 NM SW QUADRANT.
MAX SEAS TO 29 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 15.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 16.5N 118.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO NEAR 18.0N 122.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT 
...210 NW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 210 
NM NE...180 NW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 180 
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
TO 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FAUSTO WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT 
...150 NM SE QUADRANT...AND WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FAUSTO WARNING...WITHIN 300 
NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...AND WITHIN 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FAUSTO WARNING...WITHIN 270 
NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM NW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.S OF 10N BETWEEN 99W AND 109W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN S TO SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE S OF 10N BETWEEN 92W AND 124W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 13N BETWEEN 80W AND 123W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 20N W OF 80W TO LINE FROM 
20N114W TO 00N124W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S 
TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC THU JUL 17.
.HURRICANE ELIDA...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SCATTERED MODERATE 
WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE.

.TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 75 NM E AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 08N80W TO 07N87W TO 
10N95W TO 11N104W TO 09N111W TO 10N129W TO 07N140W. ISOLATED 
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 81W AND 94W. 
SCATTERED WEAK CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 120W AND 126W.

$$
.FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.