000
FZPN03 KNHC 160335
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC WED JUL 16 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELIDA AT 16.4N 114.2W 986 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 16 
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 
80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 
90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...150 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.1N 118.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND 
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.6N 123.8W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS 
OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA NEAR 18.0N 129.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 18.0N 134.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW ELIDA NEAR 18.0N 139.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 120 
NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS 
TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 120 
NM NE AND 75 NM SW SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT.  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES 10N94W 1009 MB.  WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WIND TO 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...10N98W 
1008 MB.  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 10N99W 
1007 MB.  WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  
WIND TO 20 KT.  SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E WIND TO 
20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 05N FROM 92W TO 100W  WIND LESS THAN 20 
KT.  SEAS 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 08N FROM 88W TO 130W  WIND LESS THAN 20 
KT.  SEAS TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT.  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC WED JUL 16.
.HURRICANE ELIDA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
WITHIN 190 NM SE QUADRANT. 

.LOW PRES AT 10N94W 1009 MB...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM
S QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...
AXIS ALONG 07N81W TO 09N84W TO 10N90W TO 07N113W TO 09N130W TO 
07N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
AXIS E OF 104W.  SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS W OF 
120W.

$$
.FORECASTER WALLY BARNES. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.