000
FZPN03 KNHC 151510
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE JUL 15 2008

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN 

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 16.4N 112.3W 983 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 15
MOVING WNW OR 282 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 75 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM
NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ELIDA NEAR 16.9N 116.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.6N 121.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE AND WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.8N 126.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELIDA NEAR 17.7N 130.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA NEAR 17.5N 134.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.


.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 150 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 230 
NM NE AND 170 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN ELIDA WARNING...WITHIN 260 
NM NE AND 170 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.

.LOW PRES 09N94W 1009 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS TO 20 KT. 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...10N98W 
1008 MB. LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE... 10N99W 
1007 MB.  WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER  
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 92W INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...E 
WINDS TO 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 06N BETWEEN 92W AND 133W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC TUE JUL 15.
.HURRICANE ELIDA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 75 NM NW QUADRANT AND 
WITHIN 150 NM SW QUADRANT. 

.LOW PRES AT 09N94W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 100 NM W OF 
CENTER.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF COAST BETWEEN 79W 
AND 91W AND WITHIN 35 NM 22N106W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...

AXIS FROM 08N TO 10N TO THE E OF 140W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 175 NM OF LINE FROM 09N78W TO 10N91W TO 
09N107W THEN THE NARROWS TO WITHIN 75 NM LINE 08N113W TO 08N136W.

$$
.FORECASTER SCHAUER CLARK. TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER.