000
FZPN03 KNHC 210937
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN OCT 21 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 21
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 22
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 23
 
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 19.3N 107.3W 991 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT 21
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT 
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 65 NM SW QUADRANT AND 50 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 19.8N 107.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 20.2N 108.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS TO 75 KT. NO CHANGE TO WINDS OR SEAS 
RADII. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 21.1N 110.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE..75 NM NW QUADRANT AND 90 NM NE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM OF THE CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 18 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 22.0N 114.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 23.0N 117.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW KIKO NEAR 23.5N 121.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KIKO WARNINGS. WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KIKO WARNINGS. WITHIN 150 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KIKO WARNINGS. WITHIN 150 
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.N OF 27N BETWEEN 118W AND 128W N WINDS 25 KT SEAS 12 TO 15 FT 
WITH NLY SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 115W AND 130W N TO NE 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT WITH NLY SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N BETWEEN 122W AND 128W NE WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 14 TO 16 FT WITH N SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 20N BETWEEN 
118W AND 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 12 TO 14 FT WITH N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 27N E OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 
11 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.12 HOUR FORECAST SEA OF CORTEZ N OF 27N NW TO NW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SEA OF CORTEZ N OF 25N NW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST SEA OF CORTEZ N OF 25N NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 11 FT WITH 
NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 26N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS 10 TO 12 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 20N BETWEEN 
125W AND 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 11 FT IN NLY SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
10 TO 12 FT WITH NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE N OF 22N W OF 130W NE TO E 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT WITH NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N 
TO 20N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 10 TO 12 FT 
WITH N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
9 TO 11 FT WITH NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 20N TO 25N W OF 130W NE 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT WITH NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 15N 
TO 20N BETWEEN 128W AND 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 9 TO 11 FT 
IN N SWELL. 

.FROM 9N TO 15N BETWEEN 88W AND 100W SW TO W WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
8 FT WITH SW SWELL. ELSEWHERE FROM 6N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W TO 
120W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT WITH NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 105W AND 130W SW WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 5N TO 10N E OF 88W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 6N TO 9N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W S 
TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. 

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC SUN OCT 21...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 
CENTER. ELSEWHERE NUMEROUS MODERATE WITHIN 140 NM OF THE CENTER. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N78W 14N92W 10N108W 10N123W 
8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION NEAR 7N79W 8N85W 12N96W 
11N99W 10N101W AND FROM 11N104W TO 10N109W TO 9N116W. ISOLATED 
MODERATE NEAR 9N129W 10N134W AND 9N135W. 

CLUSTER OF STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE EL SALVADOR COAST CENTERED 
NEAR 13N90W. ANOTHER CLUSTER OF STRONG CENTERED 50 NM SW OF 
HUIXTLA MEXICO NEAR 15N94W.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH