000
FZPN03 KNHC 190305
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI OCT 19 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI OCT 19
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT OCT 20
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN OCT 21
 
.WARNINGS.
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 104.6W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT
19 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 3 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 17.7N 105.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 18.8N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM AND 
210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 19.5N 107.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 20.5N 108.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE KIKO NEAR 21.5N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM S AND 120 NM N  
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 300 NM S 
AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM S
AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ELSEWHERE FROM 6N TO 15N BETWEEN 95W AND 110W SW TO W WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. S OF 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 130W
SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 130W S TO SW WINDS 
TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N BETWEEN 90W AND 135W SW WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN S SWELL.  

.N OF 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W NW TO N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN NW SWELL. FROM 14N TO 22N W OF 120W  NE WINDS 20 KT  SEAS 
TO 8 FT. N OF 25N W OF 123W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 23N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W N WINDS 20 KT  
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 23N110W 10N140W 
N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  N OF 20N BETWEEN 118W AND 130W  N TO NE WINDS 
20 KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 23N110W 
8N140W NE WINDS TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0245 UTC FRI OCT 19...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM 
W QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 150 NM W AND 75 NM E SEMICIRCLES. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 11N86W 15N93W 
12N100W 9N120W 9N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 
60-90 NM OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC. 

$$
FORECASTER COBB
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH