000
FZPN03 KNHC 180916
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU OCT 18 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU OCT 18
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI OCT 19
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT OCT 20
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 15.4N 104.2W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC OCT
18 MOVING ENE OR 060 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM SE QUADRANT 
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 16.7N 103.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 18.2N 104.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 19.0N 105.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 20.0N 106.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KIKO NEAR 22.0N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 270 NM S AND 120 NM N  
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 210 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM SE OF LINE 7N112W 17N97W SW WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 12N BETWEEN 95W AND 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 7N TO 13N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W SW WINDS 
20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT WITH SLY SWELL.  

.N OF 15N BETWEEN 108W AND 120W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 
FT. FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
N OF 28N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 125W N WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 
TO 11 FT IN N AND NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 24N110W 12N128W 
N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 TO 12 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 125W N WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN NW SWELL. ELSEWHERE W OF LINE 22N110W 9N140W 
N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC THU OCT 18...
TROPICAL STORM KIKO...NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF 
THE CENTER. OTHER STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 200 NM W QUADRANT.  

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 9N78W 9N95W 12N109W 
10N122W AND 10N140W. SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION NEAR THE 
COLOMBIAN COAST AT 3N78W TO 7N78W. SCATTERED MODERATE NEAR 
10N87W 13N88W AND 12N96W. ISOLATED MODERATE NEAR 9N122W 10N128W 
10N132W AND 11N135W.

$$
FORECASTER RRG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH