000
FZPN03 KNHC 162110
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED OCT 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU OCT 18
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 14.1N 108.1W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC
OCT 16 MOVING IS STATIONARY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 
40 KT AND SEAS TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO NEAR 14.5N 107.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT AND SEAS TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.5N 108.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO
15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.0N 108.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.5N 109.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.0N 109.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 123W AND 110W NW TO N WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N E OF 122W NW TO N WINDS SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM ESE OF LINE 10N123W 13N90W S TO SW 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. S OF 10N E OF 90E SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N E OF 120W S TO SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST E OF LINE 12N115W TO EQUATOR AT 135W S TO SW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.

.FROM 10N TO 22N W OF 128W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 19N W OF 135W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT IN FRESH NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 122W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT IN FRESH NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE OCT 16...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
150 NM OVER SW QUADRANT.  

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...11N86W 16N101W 8N111W 8N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 6N81W 
12N90W 13N101W 17N103W...AND WITHIN 30 NM 11N116W AND 
9N125W...AND WITHIN 30 NM LINE 8N132W 7N137W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH