000
FZPN03 KNHC 160304
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 16
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 17
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 18
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E STATIONARY NEAR 14.7N 109.0W 1002 
MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 16. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT 
WITH MAX SEAS 12 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.5N 108.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM 
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.9N 108.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.2N 109.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.5N 109.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 15.5N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST 
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM OF DEPRESSION CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNING...LITTLE CHANGE.

.ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM S OF LINE 9N118W 14N90W SW WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN S SWELL. S OF 7N E OF 85W SW WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 5N TO 13N BETWEEN 125W AND 88W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 13N BETWEEN 122W AND 88W SW WINDS TO 20 
TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN S SWELL.

.ELSEWHERE PAC N OF 17N BETWEEN 120W AND 108W NW TO N WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 12N BETWEEN 120W AND 110W N 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N E OF 122W N WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT IN N SWELL.

.FRONTAL TROUGH 30N126W 29N140W. N OF TROUGH WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. N OF 28N W OF 135W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N W OF 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN SWELL. 

.FROM 11N TO 22N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 18N W OF 138W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC TUE OCT 16...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE 14N110W 18N109W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 12N87W 16N101W 
14N109W 11N120W 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 7N83W 15N104W.

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH