000
FZPN03 KNHC 011510
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 01 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 01
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 02
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 03
 
.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.2N 126.0W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
01 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.5N 129.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN 
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
SEAS TO 13 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 13.9N 132.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.0N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.0N 139.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ERICK NEAR 14.0N 142.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 180 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 3N BETWEEN 98W AND 120W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 7N W OF 130W SE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT PRIMARILY IN SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 8N W OF 95W SLY WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT.

.NW OF LINE 30N124W 22N140W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT 
PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS LESS THAN 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N W OF 128W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 FT 
IN STEEP NLY SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1500 UTC WED AUG 01...
TROPICAL STORM ERICK...NUMEROUS MODERATE AND STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
OF 12.5N127W.

SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM OF 15N94W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N83W 9N91W 14N111W 13N125W 
7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF LINE 5N77W 8N85W 10N91W 9N98W 15N108W AND FROM 10N TO 
16N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W. 

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH