000
FZPN03 KNHC 170913
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU JUL 19
 
WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.1N 132.7W 994 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
17 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM 
SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.7N 136.1W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM 
E SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME W OF AREA NEAR 16.8N 
141.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL 
STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF FORECAST AREA.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 18.0N 147.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 19.0N 153.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 19.5N 158.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN COSME WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 180 SE QUADRANT AND 120 SW QUADRANT OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM W OF LINE 22N121W 
14N125W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM 
W OF LINE 14N125W 4N135W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA NW WINDS TO 20 KT  
SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.  

.WITHIN 240 NM SE OF LINE 16N102W 9N115W SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC TUE JUL 17...
.TROPICAL STORM COSME...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 
15N134W. NUMEROUS MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF 15N135W. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS 9N78W 11N90W 15N100W 
16N106W 11N118W 14N128W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED 
STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 10N96W AND WITHIN 240 NM EITHER SIDE OF 
LINE 18N102W 10N119W AND WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 
15N127W 9N132W. 

$$
FORECASTER NELSON
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH