000
FZPN03 KNHC 170345
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE JUL 17 2007
SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED JUL 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 19
 
WARNINGS...
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE COSME AT 15.1N 132.6W 987 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 17 
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 11 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 
80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 80 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 80 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 15.9N 136.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 60 GUSTS 75 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WIND WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES.  SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 16.7N 141.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 50 GUSTS 60 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 75 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 18.0N 147.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 18.5N 153.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM COSME NEAR 19.0N 159.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.

SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN HURRICANE COSME WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM OF 
CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 22N 
W OF 123W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 
23N W OF 127W  NE WIND 20 KT  SEAS 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST....EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 210 NM 
OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.  ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 
22N W OF 132W  NE WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT.

.FROM 8N TO 10N BETWEEN 100 AND 112W  S TO SW WIND 20 KT  SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 11N FROM 100W TO 115W  S TO SW WIND 20 
KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.  FROM 6N TO 10N W OF 130W  SW WIND TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  FROM 5N TO 13N BETWEEN 102W AND 115W  
S TO SW WIND TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 

.WITHIN 150 NM OF W COAST OF BAJA PENINSULA
N OF 21N  NW WIND TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.  

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2145 UTC MON JUL 16...
INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...AXIS ALONG 10N86W  15N97W  
11N112W  16N121W  7N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE 5N-10N E OF 88W 
AND WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS FROM 93W-117W.  SCATTERED MODERATE 
TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS 120W-125W.

.NUMEROUS MODERATE/SCATTERED STRONG CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH 
TROPICAL STORM COSME FROM 13N-16N BETWEEN 128W-130W. 

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH