000
FZPN03 KNHC 191005
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN NOV 19 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN NOV 19
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON NOV 20
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE NOV 21

.WARNINGS.
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SERGIO NEAR 15.6N 105.2W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC NOV 
19 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 2 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 
50 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS AND 50 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
75 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 15.8N 106.3W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 30 GUSTS 40 KT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION SERGIO NEAR 16.2N 108.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW SERGIO NEAR 16.5N 111.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 25 KT.

...STORM WARNING...
.12 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WIND INCREASE TO 35 KT
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WIND TO 40 KT
SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W... 
INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WIND 40 TO 50 KT
SEAS TO 18 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W 
12N100W  NE TO E WIND 30 TO 40 KT  SEAS TO 16 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 75 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN SERGIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 
120 NM NE AND 45 SW SEMICIRCLES  WIND 20 TO 30 KT  SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  WITHIN 240 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLES OF 
SERGIO  WIND 20 TO 25 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT.

.N OF 13N FROM 94W TO 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
N WIND 20 TO 30 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF 
LINE 16N95W 12N98W  N TO NE WIND 20 TO 25 KT  SEAS TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 90 NM OF 
LINE 16N95W 13N97W 12N99W  NE TO E WIND 20 TO 30 KT  SEAS 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...FROM 10N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 94W AND 103W  NE TO E WIND 20 TO 30 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.LOW PRES 11N115W 1008 MB DRIFT W.  WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES 13N116W 1008 MB.  LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW 13N117W 1010 MB.  WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.

.NW OF LINE 30N120W 20N130W 20N140W  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  COLD FRONT 30N138W 28N140W.  NW OF FRONT
N WIND 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT.  WITHIN 360 NM NW OF LINE 30N118W 
15N140W  WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  COLD FRONT 30N133W 27N140W.  NW OF FRONT
NE WIND 20 KT  SEAS TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 10N E OF 92W...INCLUDING GULFS OF 
PAPAGAYO AND FONSECA...NE WIND INCREASE TO 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 
8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 0845 UTC SUN NOV 19...
TROPICAL STORM SERGIO...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 15N TO 
17N BETWEEN 100W AND 105W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N82W  8N92W  14N104W  7N126W  
7N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 60 NM OF AXIS FROM 
122W TO 130W.  ISOLATED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF AXIS E OF 86W.

FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH