000
FZPN03 KNHC 241545
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE OCT 24 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 24
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 25
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 26

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 18.9N 112.0W 992 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 24
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS
65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60
NM SE QUADRANT...25 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 21.8N 110.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...25 NM SW QUADRANT
...AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL DISSIPATING INLAND
NEAR 24.0N 107.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 
90 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. WITHIN 240 NM 
NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE OF CENTER SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 60 NM
NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.W OF LINE 30N130W 22N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
...HIGHEST SEAS FAR NW PORTION.
.24 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N130W 23N140W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT SEAS 9 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N121W 
24N130W 18N140W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL 
...HIGHEST N PART.
.48 HOUR FORECAST NW OF LINE 30N131W 24N140W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 
25 KT SEAS 10 TO 13 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N120W 
22N130W 16N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN N SWELL
...HIGHEST N PART.

.FROM 12N TO 22N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 23N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 16N W OF 136W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. 

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N95W 14N96W 
...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
BUILDING TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 90 NM FROM COAST
N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 115W AND 127W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 5N E OF 90W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS
TO 8 FT IN S SWELL. FROM 3N TO 8N BETWEEN 100W AND 120W SE TO
S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 5N E OF 95W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT. FROM 4N TO 8N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT
SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1545 UTC TUE OCT 24...
TROPICAL STORM PAUL...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM E QUADRANT.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 129W
AND 131W.

SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 128W AND 130W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...10N84W 13N95W 7N117W 13N135W 
11N140W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF THE ITCZ BETWEEN
122W AND 128W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N 
BETWEEN 96W AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
4N TO 7N E OF 80W.

FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH