000
FZPN03 KNHC 231540
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 23 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 23
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 24
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 25

.WARNINGS

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 16.5N 111.5W 965 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 23
MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 75 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM
OF CENTER EXCEPT 100 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 33 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAUL NEAR 19.0N 111.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 34 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAUL NEAR 23.3N 107.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...75 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 60 NM NE 
QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAUL DISSIPATING INLAND
NEAR 27.0N 104.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 E SEMICIRCLE AND 
180 W SEMICIRCLE SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 330 
NM E AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN PAUL WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 
NM SE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS TO 12 FT.

.S OF 8N BETWEEN 95W AND 112W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 115W S WINDS TO 20 
KT SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 134W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 9 FT 
PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 26N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL. 
ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N122W 23N140W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 
8 TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 132W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 
10 TO 14 FT IN NE SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N126W 21N140W 
WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 128W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 9 
TO 13 FT IN N SWELL. ELSEWHERE NW OF LINE 30N121W 17N140W WINDS 
LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 13N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING 
GULF OF TEHAUNTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

CONVECTION VALID 1530 UTC MON OCT 23...
HURRICANE PAUL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG N OF 12N TO THE COAST OF 
MEXICO BETWEEN 92W AND 97W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N85W 10N97W 13N108W 11N117W 
9N124W 13N135W 13N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 102W AND 108W. SCATTERED 
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 150 NM S OF AXIS W OF 137W.

FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH