000 FZPN03 KNHC 090410 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0430 UTC MON OCT 09 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 09 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 10 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 11 .WARNINGS ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E SPECIAL NEAR 14.7N 117.3W 1006 MB AT 0400 UTC OCT 09 MOVING NNW OR 340 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 17.3N 117.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WITH HIGHEST SEAS TO 14 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 19.6N 117.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 75 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. HIGHEST SEAS TO 18 FT. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 21.5N 115.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION SPECIAL NEAR 23.5N 113.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 25.5N 110.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...WITHIN 90 NM OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND TO 9 FT WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...FROM 16N TO 23N BETWEEN 113W AND 123W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS SECTION...FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 112W AND 122W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 12 TO 16 FT WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 SE SEMICIRCLE. .LOW PRES NEAR 12N127W 1006 MB STATIONARY. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 13N128W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 13N130W 1005 MB. WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE SW WINDS 25 TO 30 KT AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 24N W OF 118W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 21N W OF 117W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE...WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 16N95W 13N97W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 0300 UTC SUN OCT 8... INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N79W 9N88W 10N95W 13N117W 11N122W 12N127W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN 180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 88W. NUMEROUS STRONG CONVECTION LOCATED WITHIN 180 NM OF T.D. FIFTEEN. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM OF 1006 MB LOW NEAR 13N127W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 180 NM OF AXIS W OF 137W. $$ FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH