000
FZPN03 KNHC 052103
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE SEP 05 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 05
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 06
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 07

.WARNINGS
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 16.7N 122.8W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC 
SEP 05 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 
KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE...45 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
14 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 17.5N 126.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 16 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 17.7N 129.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. 
SEAS TO 16 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 17.7N 132.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 17.7N 135.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 17.7N 138.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNING.  WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNING. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNING. LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS. 
 
.FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
N OF 22N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W N TO NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 25N W OF 125W NE WINDS 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 27N W OF 130W NE WINDS 
20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
 
.S OF 5N FROM 105W TO 115W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS 8 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 5N FROM 105W TO 125W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 7N FROM 110W TO 130W WINDS LESS THAN 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE SEP 5...
 
TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 
NM OF CENTER.

SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120-180 NM OF THE 
MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 104W AND 109W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N78W 10N100W 10N120W 7N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90-120 NM OF THE AXIS 
BETWEEN 101W AND 109W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF AXIS 
BETWEEN 126W AND 133W. 
 
$$
FORECASTER COBB
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH