000
FZPN03 KNHC 312132
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 31 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 31
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 01
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 02

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOHN AT 20.7N 107.0W 971 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 31 MOVING 
NW OR 315 DEG AT 11 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 90 GUSTS 110 KT. 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM 
SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 37 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 22.8N 109.4W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 95 GUSTS 115 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH 
SEAS TO 40 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 24.1N 112.2W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 85 GUSTS 105 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N 
AND 120 NM S OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 42 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 24.7N 115.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JOHN NEAR 25.0N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 55 GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM JOHN NEAR 25.0N 123.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 40 GUSTS 50 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE KRISTY AT 18.4N 117.2W 987 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 31 
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 6 KT.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 
80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 
30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  HURRICANE KRISTY NEAR 19.7N 119.1W.  MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WIND 65 GUSTS 80 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WIND WITHIN 
60 NM OF CENTER.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.0N 120.4W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 45 GUSTS 55 KT.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL STORM KRISTY NEAR 20.0N 121.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 35 GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST  TROPICAL DEPRESSION KRISTY DISSIPATING NEAR 
20.0N 121.5W.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 25 GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST  REMNANT LOW PRES KRISTY NEAR 19.5N 122.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND 20 GUSTS 30 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOHN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE OF JOHN  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOHN WARNINGS.  WITHIN 240 
NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE  WIND TO 33 KT 
SEAS TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNINGS.  WITHIN 150 NM OF KRISTY 
WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNINGS.
LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST  EXCEPT AS NOTED IN KRISTY WARNINGS.
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER  WIND TO 33 KT  SEAS TO 12 FT.

.N OF 27N W OF 125W  NE WINDS 20 KT  SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 130W  NE WIND TO 20 KT
SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LITTLE CHANGE.

.S OF 13N FROM 105W TO 130W  S TO SW WIND 20 KT  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST  S OF 12N FROM 115W TO 123W  S TO SW WIND 20 
KT  SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST  LOW PRES CENTER 1011 MB NEAR 8N101W.
WITHIN 120 NM S QUADRANT  SW WIND INCREASE TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA  WIND LESS THAN 20 KT  SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC THU AUG 31...
HURRICANE JOHN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM KRISTY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. 

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N79W 9N87W 17N107W 6N131W 
7N140W.  SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION WITHIN 120 NM 
OF AXIS FROM 85W TO 103W.  NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
CONVECTION WITHIN 240 NM RADIUS FROM 16N107W. 

$$
FORECASTER WALLY BARNES
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH