000
FZPN03 KNHC 292122
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE AUG 29 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 29
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 30
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 31

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 14.3N 99.0W 983 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 29
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 15.6N 102.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 18.2N 106.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 20.5N 110.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 21.0N 112.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JOHN NEAR 21.5N 115.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN JOHN WARNINGS. WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE 
AND 120 SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS. WITHIN 240 NM NE 
SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.LOW PRES 16N114W 1007 MB DRIFTING W. WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 KT SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 15N116W 1009 MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS 
AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 16N118W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ELSEWHERE S OF 10N FROM 105W TO 120W S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS 
THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N FROM 100W TO 125W S WINDS 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE S OF 12N FROM 107W TO 125W S WINDS 
20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE AUG 29...
TROPICAL STORM JOHN...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER.

LOW NEAR 16N114W...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 100 NM OF 16.6N115W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...5N77W 12N100W 10N110W 9N140W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 5N78.5W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF 11.8N107.5W.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF 9.4W119.5W.

$$
FORECASTER LL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH