000
FZPN03 KNHC 021455
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED AUG 02 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED AUG 02
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU AUG 03
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI AUG 04

.WARNINGS...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 14.9N 131.2W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 
02 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT 
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUAD AND 60 NM NW QUAD WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 15.3N 136.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE...45 NM NE QUAD AND 40 NM NW 
QUAD. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS 
TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FABIO NEAR 16.0N 141.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 25 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 
12 FT WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION FABIO NEAR 16.0N 147.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 16.0N 152.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW FABIO NEAR 16.0N 156.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 14.9N 106.5W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC 
AUG 02 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 15.7N 108.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 17.2N 111.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 18.2N 113.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 19.5N 117.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA NEAR 20.5N 119.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 200 NM N AND 90 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
15N TO 27N W OF 125W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 
NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 26N W OF 128W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN FABIO WARNINGS...WITHIN 160 
NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
ELSEWHERE N OF 16N W OF 130W NE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 10 FT IN NE 
SWELL.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GILMA WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM W AND 60 NM E 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GILMA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN GILMA WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC WED AUG 02...
TROPICAL STORM FABIO...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION GILMA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...6N77W 9N87W 12N98W 13N110W 
9N130W 10N140W. NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG N OF 4N E OF 86W.

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH