000
FZPN03 KNHC 230915
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN JUL 23 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 23
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 24
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 25

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.7N 134.6W 948 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 23 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT 
GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 
NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 420 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.6N 137.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 35 
FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL W OF AREA NEAR 16.4N 140.2W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS 
TO 28 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL W OF AREA NEAR 17.2N 
142.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL W OF AREA NEAR 18.5N 
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL W OF AREA NEAR 20.0N 
150.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 17.8N 106.5W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 
23 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT 
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N AND 30 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 125 NM N AND 50 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 19.3N 109.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 
NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 20.7N 112.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE EMILIA NEAR 22.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM EMILIA NEAR 23.5N 117.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILIA DISSIPATING NEAR 
25.5N 120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...OVER FORECAST WATERS 
WITHIN 420 NM NW AND 300 NM NE QUADRANTS...AND 150 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. S OF LINE 12N128W 
5N140W SE TO S WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...OVER 
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM NE QUADRANTS...AND 
180 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 270 NM NE...120 NM 
SE AND NW...AND 60 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 
12 FT. FROM 8N TO 12N BETWEEN 106W AND 116W SW WINDS TO 20 KT 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
300 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. FROM 7N TO 12N BETWEEN 105W AND 114W SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN EMILIA WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 6N TO 13N BETWEEN 108W AND 118W SW WINDS 20 
KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0900 UTC SUN JUL 23...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF 
CENTER.

TROPICAL STORM EMILIA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 
NM OF THE CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE IN 
BANDS FROM 14N TO 19N BETWEEN 100W AND 103W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...7N77W 10N90W 16N103W 
11N110W 13N125W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF THE 
AXIS BETWEEN 78W AND 89W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75 NM OF 
LINE 11N102W 3N90W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE AXIS 
BETWEEN 107W AND 118W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM OF THE 
AXIS BETWEEN 128W AND 131W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH