000
FZPN03 KNHC 212107
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI JUL 21 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 21
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 22
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 23

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 13.5N 127.4W 935 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 21 
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT 
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
300 NM E SEMICIRCLE...200 NM SW QUADRANT AND 250 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 45 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 14.2N 130.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. SEAS TO 
40 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DANIEL NEAR 15.0N 133.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 
35 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 16.0N 136.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 17.5N 138.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DANIEL NEAR 19.5N 140.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX E NEAR 12.7N 103.3W 1006 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 21 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25
KT GUSTS 35 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 14.5N 105.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 16.5N 108.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS 
TO 18 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 18.0N 110.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 20.0N 113.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 22.0N 115.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 420 NM SE QUADRANT AND 200 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...WITHIN 
360 NM N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN DANIEL WARNINGS...LITTLE 
CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E WARNINGS WITHIN 
240 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS WITHIN 360 NM SE
SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE OF TROPICAL STORM WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS LITTLE CHANGE IN 
WINDS AND SEAS.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC FRI JUL 21...
HURRICANE DANIEL...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF 
CENTER.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 
NM SW QUADRANT.

ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM OF THE MEXICAN COAST FROM 94W TO 
103W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...8N77W 12N100W 13N120W 
8N125W 10N140W. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 4N TO 5N 
BETWEEN 81W AND 85W AND SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION FROM 6N TO 
8N BETWEEN 95W AND 100W.

$$
FORECASTER MUNDELL
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH