000
FZPN03 KNHC 171001
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUL 17 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 17
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 18
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 19

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E NEAR 12.4N 111.0W 1007 MB AT 0900
UTC JUL 17 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NEAR 12.7N 114.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 17 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 12.9N 118.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM
N SEMICIRCLE AND 65 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
240 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 13.0N 121.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 13.0N 123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE NEAR 13.5N 126.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.LOW...REMNANTS OF CARLOTTA NEAR 21N124W 1011 MB...MOVING WNW 
12 KT. WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 21N127W 1014 MB. WITHIN 150 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS
8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW DISSIPATED.

.LOW NEAR 10N99W 1009 MB MOVING W 10 KT. WITHIN 60 NM OF LOW
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 10N104W 1008 MB. WITHIN 90 NM OF LOW 
WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 11N108W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 
9 FT IN S SWELL.

.N OF 24N W OF 124W NE TO E WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 130W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 
FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W NE WINDS TO 
20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 120 NM FROM COAST
NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 0915 UTC MON JUL 17...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SIMILAR 
CONVECTION WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE 11N115W 12N117W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...8N84W 7N94W 10N100W 12N110W 
12N120W 6N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER 
SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 92W...AND FROM 4N TO 6N E OF 78W. 
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE 
OF AXIS BETWEEN 94W AND 105W AND ALSO BETWEEN 125W AND 129W.

$$
FORECASTER AGUIRRE
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH