000
FZPN03 KNHC 151505
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT JUL 15 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 15
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 16
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 17

.WARNINGS


...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE CARLOTTA NEAR 18.8N 117.7W 987 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 15
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
75 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.2N 121.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE 
WINDS WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
125 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 19.2N 125.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 19.2N 128.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION BUD NEAR 20.6N 132.9W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUL 15 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30
KT GUSTS 40 KT.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.0N 138.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW NEAR 21.0N 141.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT.
48 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...
WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRLCE WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 
NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST...EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 
NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT.

.TROPICAL WAVE 100W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 TO 15 KT. FROM 3N TO 
9N BETWEEN 92W AND 101W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. 
FROM 9N TO 15N WITHIN 240 NM E OF WAVE E TO SE WINDS 20 KT SEAS 
TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 11N106W 1007 MB. FROM 3N TO 11N 
BETWEEN 101W AND 112W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S 
SWELL. FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 100W AND 110W NE TO E WINDS 20 KT 
SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW NEAR 12N113W 1006 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLE AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT.

.FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 120 FROM COAST
N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WITHIN 90 FROM COAST
N TO NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 1515 UTC SAT JUL 15...
HURRICANE CARLOTTA...SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE.
SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 45 NM W SEMICIRCLE.


INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE...9N78W 10N100W 9N130W 10N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE 300 NM WIDE 90W TO 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE 
120 NM WIDE 115W 125W.



$$
FORECASTER FT
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH