000 FZPN03 KNHC 142127 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC FRI JUL 14 2006 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SECURITE E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 14 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 15 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 16 .WARNINGS ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 19.8N 128.5W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 14 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 25 NM N SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 225 NM E SEMICIRCLE... 100 NM SW QUADRANT AND 175 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 20.4N 133.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE. .48 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 20.6N 138.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. .72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 20.5N 144.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 20.0N 150.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW BUD NEAR 20.0N 155.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 18.6N 114.4W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 14 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 125 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA NEAR 19.2N 117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 75 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 240 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N 121.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE. .72 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N 123.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 19.6N 126.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST REMNANT LOW CARLOTTA NEAR 19.5N 128.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 25 KT. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN BUD WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. .EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN CARLOTTA WARNINGS...WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W S OF 15N MOVING W 10 KT. FROM 3N TO 9N BETWEEN 92W AND 100W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 9N TO 13N BETWEEN 95W AND 102W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST DEVELOPING LOW 11N103W 1009 MB. FROM 3N TO 10N BETWEEN 98W AND 110W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 96W AND 106W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 12N109W 1007 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N AND 420 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. .FROM 9N TO 12N E OF 90W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID 2115 UTC FRI JUL 14... TROPICAL STORM BUD...NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION. TROPICAL STORM CARLOTTA...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG IN BANDS WITHIN 240 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES. INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...9N80W 8N90W 8N100W 12N108W THEN 15N120W 8N130W 7N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 300 NM N AND 240 NM S OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 110W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 118W AND 125W. $$ FORECASTER BERG TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH