000
FZPN03 KNHC 112253 AAA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...UPDATED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE JUL 11 2006

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

UPDATED FOR HURRICANE BUD

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE JUL 11
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED JUL 12
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 13

.WARNINGS
...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE BUD NEAR 14.2N 113.1W 987 MB AT 2230 UTC JUL 11 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT 
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 15.5N 116.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF 
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 16.8N 120.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 17.0N 124.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE BUD NEAR 17.0N 127.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM BUD NEAR 17.0N 130.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST
.EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 14N BETWEEN 108W 
AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 300 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 
15N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W S TO SW WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED IN WARNINGS...WITHIN 360 NM OF 
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 5N TO 
16N BETWEEN 115W AND 128W S TO SW WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
SW SWELL.

.LOW 13N102W 1008 MB MOVING WNW 15 TO 20 KT. WITHIN 240 NM OF 
LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...14N105W 1006 
MB. WITHIN 300 NM OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...16N110W 1004 
MB. LITTLE CHANGE IN WINDS AND SEAS.

.FROM 15N TO 26N W OF 135W NE WINDS TO 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 25N W OF 130W NE TO 20 KT SEAS TO 
8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 90W E WINDS 20 KT SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID 2100 UTC TUE JUL 11...
HURRICANE BUD...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 240 NM SW AND 120 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 9N TO 18N BETWEEN 93W AND 
105W.

INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE AXIS...6N77W 12N100W 14N113W 
8N135W 8N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 4N TO 8N 
BETWEEN 79W AND 86W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM 
OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 116W AND 129W.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER
TROPICAL ANALYSIS AND FORECAST BRANCH