000
FZNT02 KNHC 061523
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU OCT 6 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU OCT 6.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI OCT  7.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT OCT  8.

.WARNINGS.

...CARIBBEAN TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE THIRTEEN NEAR 11.4N 67.0W 1006 MB AT
1500 UTC OCT 06 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 14N63W TO 17N65W TO 16N68W TO 14N69W
TO 11N68W TO 12N63W TO 14N63W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN NEAR 12.3N 71.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 17N70W TO 18N73W TO 15N75W TO 13N73W 
TO 13N69W TO 14N68W TO 17N70W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN NEAR 13.0N 78.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
18N72W TO 18N76W TO 15N80W TO 13N80W TO 12N77W TO 15N72W TO 
18N72W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE THIRTEEN NEAR 12.8N 82.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM THIRTEEN INLAND NEAR 13.8N
86.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW THIRTEEN NEAR 15.6N
91.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE NEAR 18.3N 34.4W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC
OCT 06 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 24N35W TO 21N36W 
TO 20N36W TO 19N35W TO 24N35W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWELVE NEAR 18.8N
36.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWELVE NEAR 18.8N
38.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 25N35W 
TO 26N38W TO 23N40W TO 20N40W TO 20N35W TO 25N35W WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW TWELVE DISSIPATED.
WITHIN 25N35W TO 26N39W TO 26N43W TO 23N42W TO 16N35W TO 25N35W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.ATLC AND CARIBBEAN 36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 21N71W TO 21N73W TO
20N75W TO 19N74W TO 20N73W TO 20N71W TO 21N71W...INCLUDING
APPROACH TO WINDWARD PASSAGE...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER ERA. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.