000
FZNT02 KNHC 010243
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE OCT 01 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU OCT 03.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 32.0N 41.2W 956 MB AT 0300 UTC OCT 01 
MOVING NE OR 035 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT 
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 270 NM NE 
QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 220 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 420 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 43 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS FROM 26N TO 31N BETWEEN 35W AND 46W WINDS 20 TO 
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF 20N E 
OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 37.8N 34.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER FROM 27N TO 31N BETWEEN 35W AND 43W WITH SEAS 12 TO 18 
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 22N E OF 53W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 49.0N 
21.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 330 NM S SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 
220 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER MOVE N OF AREA. OVER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N E OF 46W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 55.0N 
10.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA 31N76W TO 31N60W TO 25N75W TO 27N80W TO 31N75W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND E SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA 31N77W TO 31N61W TO 26N76W TO 
27N80W TO 31N77W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE 
AND E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 28N TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 74W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND E SWELL. 

.FROM 23N TO 25N BETWEEN 78W AND 83W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF 
FLORIDA...NE TO E WIND 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 37W AND 49W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 48W AND 54W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.