000
FZNT02 KNHC 300239
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON SEP 30 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 30.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 01.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 02.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 27.6N 43.5W 952 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 30 
MOVING NNE OR 020 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT 
GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM NE 
QUADRANT...330 NM SE QUADRANT...390 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 450 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 43 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...360 NM SE...AND 240 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF 20N E OF 
70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 
18N TO 20N BETWEEN 43W AND 51W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 31.0N 41.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 190 NM W SEMICIRCLE...240 NM NE QUADRANT AND 260 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 450 OF CENTER...EXCEPT 
480 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 390 NM E 
AND 270 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF 20N E OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 37.5N 34.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 280 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...260 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 230 NM NW QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 26N 
TO 31N BETWEEN 35W AND 45W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 12 TO 19 
FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 22N E OF 55W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 48.0N 
22.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 53.0N 
17.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 
54.0N 17.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA 31N76W TO 31N60W TO 22N73W TO 
28N80W TO 31N76W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
NE AND E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA 31N80W TO 31N60W TO 25N76W TO 
27N80W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE 
AND E SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.