000
FZNT02 KNHC 292044
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 26.9N 44.2W 948 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 29 
MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT 
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM 
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...390 NM NE QUADRANT AND 330 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 45 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM S SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SW...AND 
330 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF 20N E OF 70W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 
42W AND 55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 30.1N 42.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 220 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...160 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
420 S SEMICIRCLE...450 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 450 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 43 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM E AND 280 NM W 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 20N E OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 35.6N 37.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM W SEMICIRCLE...260 NM NE QUADRANT AND 280 NM SE 
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 480 
NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 28N E OF 40W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. REMAINDER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF 22N E OF 58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 44.6N 26.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 52.2N 
17.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 
55.0N 15.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA 31N74W TO 31N60W TO 22N73W TO 
27N77W TO 31N74W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE 
AND E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA 31N80W TO 31N62W TO 25N76W TO 
27N80W TO 31N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE 
AND E SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.