000
FZNT02 KNHC 291528
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT  1.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 25.9N 44.4W 938 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 29
MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE
QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 48 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE QUADRANT...360 NM SE 
QUADRANT...390 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 450 NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS
FROM 07N TO 31N E OF 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 28.9N 43.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 220 NM NE QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...160 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
390 S SEMICIRCLE...420 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 450 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 50 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 450 NM NE QUADRANT...420 NM 
SE QUADRANT...450 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 540 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST 
WATERS N OF 16N E OF 79W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 33.7N 38.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 260 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 200 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 480 NM ALL QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 50 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 510 NM ALL QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 19N E OF 
81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 42.0N 29.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 50.0N
18.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 
54.9N 11.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.