000
FZNT02 KNHC 290931
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN SEP 29 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 29.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 30.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 01.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 25.1N 44.6W 925 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 29 
MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT 
GUSTS 165 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 240 NM NE 
QUADRANT...200 NM SE QUADRANT...110 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 160 NM 
NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...300 NM NE QUADRANT AND 330 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE...270 NM NE...240 NM NW AND 
180 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF LINE FROM 23N36W TO 07N43W TO 07N48W TO 
06N53W TO 12N60W TO 31N64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 28.0N 43.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...220 NM SE QUADRANT...140 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 160 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
480 NM NW AND 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 42 FT. 
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 360 NM SE AND 270 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 22 FT. REMAINDER 
FORECAST WATERS N OF LINE FROM 21N35W TO 14N51W TO 22N58W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT IN MIXED SWELL. S OF 11N BETWEEN 
48W AND 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO N OF AREA NEAR 32.2N 40.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 250 NM NE QUADRANT...260 NM SE QUADRANT...200 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 190 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 480 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER 
FORECAST WATERS E OF LINE FROM 25N41W TO 31N48W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 13 TO 23 FT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST WATERS N OF 18N E OF 
58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 39.4N 32.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 47.8N 
20.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL EXTRATROPICAL LORENZO NEAR 
53.5N 10.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 31N58W TO 22N58W TO 
19.5N65W TO 26N77W TO 31N72W TO 31N58W WINDS LESS THAN 20 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA N OF LINE FROM 31N62W TO 23N74W TO 
27.5N80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND E 
SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.