000
FZNT02 KNHC 270920
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI SEP 27 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 18.6N 42.1W 937 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 27 
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT 
GUSTS 150 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 230 NM NE...190 
NM SE...100 NM SW AND 200 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 
WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 46 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 270 NM SW QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 26N E OF 51W WINDS 20 KT 
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 21.8N 43.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 29N E OF 56W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 25.1N 43.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 140 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 420 NM N SEMICIRCLE... 
300 NM SE QUADRANT...AND 360 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
REMAINDER AREA N OF 14N E OF 60W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 28.7N 41.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO N OF AREA NEAR 33.3N 37.7W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NE OF AREA NEAR 40.0N 
30.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 28.3N 61.2W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 
27 MOVING NE OR 055 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 60 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 90 NM SE AND 45 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 29.1N 59.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 75 NM SE AND 
30 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAREN NEAR 29.3N 
61.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. WITHIN 45 NM 
OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAREN NEAR 29.0N 
64.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.