000
FZNT02 KNHC 260841
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU SEP 26 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 28.

.WARNINGS.

...ATLC HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 15.1N 39.3W 974 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 26
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM N SEMICIRCLE...270
NM SE QUADRANT AND 240 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 40 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N35W TO 09N39W TO 17N44W TO 21N42W TO 19N35W 
TO 10N35W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 08N35W TO 07N39W TO 13N44W TO 23N43W TO 24N35W TO 08N35W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 17.7N 41.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
270 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...390 NM SW QUADRANT AND
360 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N41W 
TO 17N47W TO 22N45W TO 23N40W TO 19N37W TO 13N41W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 15N35W TO 07N47W TO
17N51W TO 25N46W TO 24N39W TO 15N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 21.2N 43.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 160 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...200 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT 
...270 NM SE QUADRANT AND 360 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 46 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 19N39W TO 17N43W TO 19N47W TO 25N47W TO 24N39W 
TO 19N39W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
WITHIN 09N43W TO 08N54W TO 17N57W TO 27N53W TO 27N38W TO 09N43W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 24.6N 43.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 28.0N 42.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 33.0N 38.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

...ATLC TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 25.5N 63.5W 1004 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
26 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 40 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF 
CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 24N60W TO 22N64W TO 26N66W TO 27N62W TO 26N60W TO 24N60W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.9N 61.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 28N60W TO 26N62W TO 26N63W TO 29N63W TO 29N61W TO 28N60W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.9N 60.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 28N58W TO 26N59W TO 27N62W TO 29N61W TO 29N59W TO 28N58W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 27.3N 62.5W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAREN NEAR 27.0N 
65.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAREN NEAR 26.8N 
67.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.