000
FZNT02 KNHC 260238
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU SEP 26 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 28.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 14.7N 38.1W 974 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 26 
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT 
GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 180 NM NE 
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT...280 
NM SE QUADRANT...210 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM 
N SEMICIRCLE...270 NM SE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA E OF LINE FROM 25N35W TO 
21N43W TO 10N43W TO 07N41W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 16.8N 41.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
330 NM E AND 360 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 44 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 330 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT...WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF LINE 26N35W TO 23N48W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 20.4N 43.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 200 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...100 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 170 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
360 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 330 NM SW QUADRANT...WITH SEAS TO 48 
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM NE...330 NM SE...120 NM SW...AND 300 
NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 10N TO 29N E OF 55W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 23.8N 43.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 27.5N 42.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 31.9N 39.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 24.4N 63.6W 1003 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP 
26 MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 30 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.5N 62.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM SE AND 30 NM NW 
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 28.3N 60.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 30 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...0 NM NW QUADRANT AND 40 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM S AND 30 NM N SEMICIRCLES 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 27.5N 61.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAREN NEAR 26.6N 
64.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAREN NEAR 26.5N 
67.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 30N BETWEEN 64W AND 68W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 
FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.