000 FZNT02 KNHC 232211 HSFAT2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 2230 UTC MON SEP 23 2019 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND GULF OF MEXICO SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 23. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 24. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 25. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM LORENZO NEAR 11.3N 25.5W 1004 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 23 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE...20 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENZO NEAR 12.4N 30.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. .36 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 13.1N 33.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 12N TO 16N E OF 36W N WIND 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 11N TO 20N E OF 37W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 13.6N 35.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...130 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 210 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 06N TO 22N E OF 40W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 15.4N 40.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 18.3N 43.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LORENZO NEAR 21.5N 46.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 28.4N 68.3W 991 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 23 MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 23N BETWEEN 63W AND 78W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 30.9N 68.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 240 NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...150 SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 33.3N 64.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 30N BETWEEN 59W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 35.0N 58.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 36.0N 53.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 35.0N 50.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING... .TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 15.9N 65.6W 1007 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 23 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 270 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...300 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN NEAR 18.9N 66.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT 90 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 180 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER OPEN WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 0 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 23.3N 65.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 120 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...210 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 26.5N 65.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.5N 65.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.5N 67.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .GULF OF MEXICO FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 83W AND 90W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. .06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. $$ .FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.