000
FZNT02 KNHC 231624
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 28.1N 68.0W 991 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 23 
MOVING NNW OR 330 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE...300 NM SE...120 NM SW...AND 150 NM 
NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA N OF 24.5N BETWEEN 62W AND 72W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 30.4N 68.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
150 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT 
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 25N66W TO 25N67W TO 26N69W 
TO 30N69W TO 29N64W TO 25N66W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 25N67W TO 24N75W TO 28N80W TO 
31N76W TO 30N69W TO 25N67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY N OF AREA NEAR 33.3N 
65.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 29N63W TO 27N66W 
TO 30N71W TO 31N71W TO 31N63W TO 29N63W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 27N67W TO 27N71W TO 29N75W 
TO 31N75W TO 31N71W TO 27N67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 35.8N 58.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 37.0N 53.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 37.0N 48.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 14.9N 64.8W 1007 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 
23 MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT 
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E 
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM W 
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 210 NM E AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
TO 9 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA S OF 17N E OF 66W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 17.7N 65.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 
NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 15N62W TO 
13N63W TO 13N64W TO 16N65W TO 16N63W TO 15N62W WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 15N E OF 66W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 21.9N 65.7W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 0 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N65W TO 17N67W 
TO 18N66W TO 17N64W TO 16N65W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 25.6N 65.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.0N 65.8W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.0N 67.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC N OF 24.5N BETWEEN 72W AND 80W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED.

.ATLC FROM 13.5N TO 18N E OF 38W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN MIXED NE AND 
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N E OF 41W WIND 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM LORENZO E OF AREA NEAR 13.1N 
34.3W. MAX WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 
12N TO 19N E OF 37W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. 
ELSEWHERE S OF 20N E OF 39W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN 
NE SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO FROM 22N TO 25N BETWEEN 80W AND 90W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. .
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.