881 
FZNT02 KNHC 230855
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON SEP 23 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 25.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 27.8N 67.7W 993 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 23
MOVING NNW OR 335 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150
NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 26N65W TO 25N68W TO 30N70W TO 31N66W TO 29N64W TO 26N65W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 
28N70W TO 25N66W TO 25N76W TO 29N80W TO 31N66W TO 28N70W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 30.1N 68.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN  
210 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 28N64W TO
26N67W TO 29N67W TO 31N63W TO 28N64W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 26N67W TO 29N75W TO 31N75W TO 
31N71W TO 29N68W TO 26N67W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT 
IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY N OF AREA NEAR 32.6N 
66.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM 
FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER N OF AREA. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 30.5N62.5W TO
30.5N67W TO 31N67.5W TO 31N61.5W TO 30.5N62.5W S TO SW WINDS 20 
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 35.5N 60.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 37.0N 54.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 37.0N 48.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 13.6N 63.9W 1007 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
23 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW 
QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 13N62W TO 13N64W  
TO 15N65W TO 16N64W TO 15N62W TO 13N62W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. WITHIN 15N59W TO 12N60W TO 16N61W TO 19N63W TO 19N61W 
TO 15N59W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 16.1N 65.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...0 NM 
S SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 16N63W TO 15N67W TO 16N67W TO 18N66W TO 18N63W TO 16N63W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 20.1N 65.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SE 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 20N63W TO 
19N64W TO 19N67W TO 21N65W TO 21N64W TO 20N63W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 24.6N 64.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 26.5N 65.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAREN NEAR 27.0N 67.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC WITHIN 16N35W TO 16N36W TO 17N37W TO 19N36W TO 20N35W TO
16N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ATLC 42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14.5N35W TO 16.5N36W TO 17.5N36W
TO 19N35W TO 14.5N35W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
MIXED NE AND SE SWELL...IN ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE THIRTEEN E
OF AREA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N35W TO 14N37W TO 16N37W TO 18N36W TO
19N35W TO 12N35W NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT...IN 
ASSOCIATION WITH HURRICANE THIRTEEN E OF AREA.

.GULF OF MEXICO WITHIN 24N80W TO 24N82W TO 24N83W TO 25N80W TO 
24N80W...INCLUDING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.