000
FZNT02 KNHC 220248
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN SEP 22 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN SEP 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 24.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 24.1N 66.3W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
22 MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT AND
150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE 210 NM NE
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 270 NM
NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 18N TO 31N BETWEEN 61W AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 26.7N 67.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 180 NM NE
QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM 
NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 310 NM NE 
QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...180 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 240 NM 
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 22N TO 31N BETWEEN 64W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 29.4N 68.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 130 NM NE QUADRANT...140 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE...150 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 24N 
BETWEEN 73W AND 75W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 32.6N 66.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 36.8N 60.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 40.8N 54.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE FROM 08N TO 18N ALONG 59W. FROM 12N TO 14N
BETWEEN 56W AND 58W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 13 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 55W AND 60W SE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF
08N AND E OF 64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CARIBBEAN LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 13N63W 1009 MB. FROM 13N TO 16N BETWEEN 61W AND 
64W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER OPEN 
WATERS FROM 10N TO 20N BETWEEN 57W AND 65W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN PRIMARILY E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CARIBBEAN LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...NEAR 16N65W 1008 MB. FROM 15N TO 18N BETWEEN 63W AND
66W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.ALTC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N57W TO 23N80W. FROM 25N TO 28N
BETWEEN 75W AND 77W E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 13 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 23N TO 29N BETWEEN 71W AND 80W NE WIND 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER OPEN WATERS FROM 20N 
TO 31N BETWEEN 70W AND 81W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED.

.GULF OF MEXICO FROM 23N TO 29N BETWEEN 80W AND 85W E WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.