000
FZNT02 KNHC 212115
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 23.0N 65.8W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
21 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...240 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 120
NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N 0F 17N E OF 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 25.8N 67.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE QUADRANT...AND 240 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE 
QUADRANT...AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 21N TO 31N BETWEEN 63W AND 81W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 28.5N 67.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 110 NM E SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 70 NM NW 
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 150 NM ALL QUADRANTS EXCEPT 120 
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM ALL 
QUADRANTS EXCEPT 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 25N BETWEEN 
63W AND 77W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 31.5N 66.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 35.5N 61.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 40.0N 56.0W. 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE FROM 07N TO 17N ALONG 58W. FROM 10N TO 14N
BETWEEN 54W TO 58W SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 09N TO 17N BETWEEN 43W AND 62W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CARIBBEAN LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 12N61W 1009 MB. FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 59W AND 
63W SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 10N TO 
20N BETWEEN 56W AND 64W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
PRIMARILY E SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST CARIBBEAN LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL
CYCLONE...NEAR 13N64W 1009 MB. FROM 15N TO 17N BETWEEN 64W AND
65W SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N57W TO 23N80W. FROM 25N TO 29N
BETWEEN 71W AND 80W NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS N OF 20N BETWEN 70W AND 81W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST
CONDITIONS MERGED.

.GULF OF MEXICO FROM 23N TO 29N BETWEEN 83W AND 90W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN PRIMARILY E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27M BETWEEN 83W AND 87W WINDS 20 
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN E SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER KONARIK. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.