000
FZNT02 KNHC 211613
HSFAT2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SAT SEP 21 2019

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 31N W OF 35W INCLUDING CARIBBEAN SEA AND
GULF OF MEXICO

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT SEP 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 22.0N 65.0W 999 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 21 
MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT 
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE 
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT 
OR GREATER WITHIN 270 NM NE QUADRANT...150 NM SE QUADRANT...120 
NM SW QUADRANT...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE...210 NM SE...60 NM SW AND 150 NM NW 
QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 25.0N 66.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...20 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 
270 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE AND 45 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. 
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 22N TO 28N BETWEEN 61W 
AND 70W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 27.8N 67.1W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...100 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW 
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 
180 NM NE...120 NM SE...60 NM SW...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE...270 NM SE...75 NM 
SW...AND 300 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. 
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 24.5N TO 31N BETWEEN 64W AND 77.5W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JERRY NEAR 30.6N 66.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 34.5N 62.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE JERRY NEAR 38.5N 57.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE 
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE 
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.ATLC STATIONARY FRONT FROM 31N57W TO 23.5N80W. OVER FORECAST 
WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NW OF FRONT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
9 TO 14 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. EXCEPT AS NOTED WITH 
JERRY...ELSEWHERE N OF 18N W OF 54W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 
TO 12 FT IN MAINLY N TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED. 

.ATLC EXCEPT AS NOTED ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 18N BETWEEN 48W AND 
58W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ELSEWHERE...WITHIN 13N46W TO 
07N55W TO 21N64W TO 28N80W TO 31N68W TO 13N46W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
WITHIN 19N35W TO 17N40W TO 22N43W TO 28N40W TO 31N35W TO 19N35W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED.

.ATLC TROPICAL WAVE S OF 18N ALONG 57W. FROM 11N TO 15N BETWEEN 
51W AND 59W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST CARIBBEAN LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 12.5N60.5W 1009 MB. FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 58W 
AND 62W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 09N 
TO 20N BETWEEN 54W AND 61W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN 
MAINLY NW AND NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CARIBBEAN LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL 
CYCLONE...NEAR 14N64W 1010 MB. FROM 11.5N TO 16N BETWEEN 60W AND 
63W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 
13.5N TO 20N BETWEEN 60W AND 66W  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 
FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.GULF OF MEXICO S OF 28N E OF 87W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. 
SEAS TO 11 FT....HIGHEST NEAR 25N86W. ELSEWHERE S OF 28N E OF 
88.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E TO NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 23N TO 27.5N E OF 86.5W NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.